Chief Meteorologist
Highs today skyrocketed to 50-56, but the winds were howling with gusts 30-48 (peak measured gusts below):
48 mph – 1 N Athens
43 mph – 3 E Fowler…Remington
41 mph – Kentland Municipal Airport…2 W Rochester
40 mph – 3 E Attica
39 mph – 6 SE Covington
38 mph – Monticello-White County Airport…Grissom ARB…Kokomo Municipal Airport…4 SW Kewanna…5 S Montmorenci…SE Lafayette…WLFI Ob Site
37 mph – Logansport-Cass County Airport…Frankfort Municipal Airport…Morocco
36 mph – Purdue University Airport…Rochester-Fulton County Airport
35 mph – Galveston Airport…Rensselear…6 NE Rensselaer…5 W Delphi
34 mph – 2 NE Darlington
33 mph – Crawfordsville Municipal Airport…Crawfordsville…Rensselaer-Jasper County Airport
32 mph – 2 N Rensselaer…4 SE Forest
31 mph – 5 NE Winamac
30 mph – 4 NE Monon
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Highs Monday should reach 57-63, followed by 56-62 Tuesday.
Monday will be brighter than Tuesday. Tuesday may also have a few spotty showers. They do not look to be very numerous. Coverage should run 30-35%.
After dry weather with 65-70 Wednesday & 68-73 Thursday (with sun), periods of rain & a few embedded t’storms are likely Friday.
Due to the rain & cloudy skies all day, highs should run 58-64, then fall later in the day into the 40s to lower 50s with wind shift to the northwest.
Yes, that will indeed be accumulating snowfall in Iowa & northwestern Illinois as a tongue of cold air is pulled southeastward.
0.50-0.90″ rainfall is possible here for Friday.
We should drop to 34-39 Friday night.
Saturday looks better with sun, but it will be cooler with highs in the 50s.
Sunday looks better with highs in the 60s.
68-73 is possible next Monday with sun, followed by only 50s Monday night.
70s are possible Tuesday with strong south-southwest winds.
However, note the trend for March Tuesday evening, March 22.
You can see a well-defined QLCS squall line with parameters indicating severe weather risk from our area to the Gulf Coast.
The line would look to be racing northeastward.
You can see how the projected gusts via the Hi-Res Euro indicate corridors of severe gusts with the QLCS racing northeastward over a 3-hour period after 7 p.m. that evening.
You can see the strong low-level jet nosing into area ahead of the line & the cold front to our west (the black lines).
Behind this front, it gets only slightly cooler then warms right back up again.
60s are likely Wednesday, followed by 70s Thursday to Friday of next week.
Isolated 80 is even possible at the end of the week with mild in the 50s to even lower 60s (with strong south to southwest winds).
We may end up with rain & severe weather around the 25th with this change.
CIPS analog hints at lots of severe weather & this severe risk will likely extend northward into our area (though it looks highest southwest & south of our area):
CIPS also trends toward tornadoes with this severe weather with some of that extending as far north as our area eventually (highest risk southwest & south of us, however):
However, it looks MUCH COLDER around March 26 & 27.
With lots of clouds & even some snow showers & strong northwest to north winds to 40 mph, highs may only run in the 30s with lows in the 20s!
CIPS analog picks up on this. It hints at the sharp trough in the East with below normal temperatures:
Picks up on snow showers, too:
However, that DOES NOT SEEM TO LAST LONG! Highs Monday, March 28 may reach 58-64 & 70s are possible (even 80?) around March 29 & 30.
Much colder regime early April after storms (many freezing nights) with even some snow:
Much warmer by mid-April, but turns stormy:
Chief Meteorologist
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